Keywords: Block diagram showing an iterative and adaptive decision strategy (US CCSP).svg climate change For decision strategy B policy is continually reassessed based on the success of previous policies and allowing for information based on new research See also economics of global warming Summary of diagrams Decision strategy A starts off with 1 identifying the problem at hand This flows to 2 do research This flows to 3 gain a full understanding of all the relevant issues This feeds back to 2 and to 4 identify policy options This flows to 5 implement the optimal policy This flows to 6 solve the problem Decision strategy B starts off with 1 identifying a problem This flows to 2 do research This flows to 3 learn what you can and what you can't know at least now This flows to two tasks 4 and 5 4 identify adaptive policies and choose one that currently looks best An adaptive policy can be revised based on new evidence 4 flows to 6 5 continue research 5 flows to 7 6 implement policy and observe how it works This flows to 7 Reassess policy in light of new understanding This flows to 8 Refine problem identification as needed This feeds back to 4 and 2 citation January 2009 Ch 7 Making Decisions in the Face of Uncertainty Fig 7 1 Synthesis and Assessment Product 5 2 Best practice approaches for characterizing communicating and incorporating scientific uncertainty in decisionmaking A Report by the U S Climate Change Science Program CCSP and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research Granger Morgan M et al National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Washington D C USA CCSP http //downloads globalchange gov/sap/sap5-2/sap5-2-final-report-all pdf Granger Morgan M et al 2009-01-01 Converted to svg Global warming Decision diagrams Enescot |